BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 115 Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  101.30

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    94.63   6  14    2  96 (  9-  2) Tuskegee              -11.06      3.06                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   127.98   7  34   1A  65 ( 11-  2) Troy                   22.29 *  -49.29                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   131.69  14  20   1B  22 ( 12-  2) Kennesaw St            26.00 *  -32.00                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L *  78.53   0  34   1B  83 (  6-  5) Prairie View A&M      -27.16     -6.84                      
  5 10/05/2017 Home    L * 104.95  10  24   1B  79 (  7-  5) Alcorn St              -0.74    -13.26                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 108.89  23  16   1B 117 (  2-  9) Texas Southern          3.20      3.80                      
  7 10/28/2017 Neutral W * 108.31  21  16   1B 110 (  4-  7) Alabama A&M             2.62      2.38                      
  8 11/04/2017 Away    W * 114.93  13   3   1B 114 (  3-  8) Jackson St              9.24      0.76                      
  9 11/11/2017 Home    L * 104.28   7  24   1B  69 ( 11-  2) Grambling St           -1.41    -15.59                      
 10 11/18/2017 Away    W *  95.85  16  10   1B 124 (  2-  9) Mississippi Valley S   -9.84     15.84                      
 11 11/23/2017 Home    W    92.55  37   3   NA  75 (  0- 10) Edward Waters         -13.14 *   47.14                      
      Averages             105.69  14.0 18.0

Best game:  131.69 = 6 point loss to Kennesaw St
Worst game:  78.53 = 34 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Team stdev:  15.52